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The relationship between low perceived numeracy and cancer knowledge, beliefs, and affect

  • Katherine Ross,

    Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

    Affiliations Department of Epidemiology, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America, School of Nursing and Health Studies, University of Miami, Coral Gables, Florida, United States of America

  • Justin Stoler ,

    Roles Conceptualization, Methodology, Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

    stoler@miami.edu

    Affiliations Department of Geography and Regional Studies, University of Miami, Coral Gables, Florida, United States of America, Department of Public Health Sciences, Miller School of Medicine, University of Miami, Miami, Florida, United States of America

  • Nick Carcioppolo

    Roles Conceptualization, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

    Affiliation Department of Communication Studies, University of Miami, Coral Gables, Florida, United States of America

Abstract

Low numeracy may skew patient perceptions of information about cancer. This paper examines the relationship between self-reported measures of perceived numeracy and cancer knowledge, beliefs, and affect, using results from 3,052 respondents to the 2007 Health Information National Trends Survey (HINTS-3). Chi-squared tests were used to identify differences in responses between high- and low-numeracy groups using three measures of perceived numeracy. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to evaluate the association between the three perceived numeracy measures and cancer information overload, cancer fatalism, cancer prevention knowledge, and cancer worry. Respondents with low perceived numeracy as expressed by discomfort with medical statistics were more likely to report information overload, to display fatalistic attitudes towards cancer, to lack knowledge about cancer prevention, and to indicate that they worried about cancer more frequently. After controlling for sociodemographic characteristics, this measure of perceived numeracy remained significantly associated with information overload, fatalism, lower prevention knowledge, and worry. The other measures of perceived numeracy, which measured understanding and use of health statistics, were not associated with cancer perceptions. Our findings suggest that individuals with low perceived numeracy broadly differ from individuals with high perceived numeracy in their perceptions of cancer and cancer prevention. By improving our understanding of how perceived numeracy affects patient perceptions of cancer, health providers can improve educational strategies and targeted health messaging.

Introduction

Health care providers and patients increasingly support shared decision making as the preferred alternative to paternalistic or autonomic approaches to medical decision-making [1]. Patients need the ability to comprehend and utilize health information to meaningfully participate in their own care. This is referred to as “health literacy,” an essential facet of functional adult literacy which shapes personal health outcomes [24]. Numeracy is defined as "the ability to access, use, interpret, and communicate mathematical information and ideas, to engage in and manage mathematical demands of a range of situations in adult life” [5]. Health numeracy includes individual skills necessary to understand and use quantitative health information, including reading and interpreting medical information, performing basic computations, and communicating orally about quantitative information [6].

Many Americans score poorly on conventional measures of numeracy. In 2012, the Program for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies (PIACC) conducted a study assessing proficiency in three areas: literacy, numeracy, and problem-solving in a technological environment. While 12% of adults scored on the highest literacy levels, only 9% of Americans scored in the highest numeracy levels. 30% of Americans between the ages of 16 and 65 were at or below level 1, the lowest numeracy proficiency level [5]. Health literacy tends to be particularly low among immigrant populations, racial and ethnic minorities, and low-income populations [7]. A multi-center study of numeracy among Emergency Department patients showed similar demographic disparities [8].

Adequate health numeracy is essential to self-management of several chronic conditions. A study of adults with asthma showed that low numeracy, but not low health literacy alone, was associated with a history of hospitalization for asthma [9]. Low numeracy also mediated disparities in HIV medication adherence among African Americans [10]. Numeracy is also a key factor for effective risk communication. Low numeracy has resulted in distorted risk perceptions and low understanding of screening benefits [11]. This is particularly harmful for chronic disease prevention efforts. While some studies found that numeracy is not correlated with cancer screening uptake [12, 13], others have identified a strong relationship between numeracy and patient ability to accurately determine benefits of mammography [14]. A basic proficiency in numeracy is required to understand online cancer risk information [15] and accurately assess cancer-related health risks [16, 17].

This study evaluates the relationships between three self-reported, perceived low numeracy items and cancer-related knowledge, beliefs, and affect. Some studies have found few differences between subjective (self-reported) and objective (performance-based) measures of health literacy and numeracy [18, 19]. But different relationships between subjective and objective measures of numeracy have been observed with colorectal cancer screening behavior when stratified by perceptions of provider communication [20], and with willingness to pay for breast cancer testing among women in a cancer registry who had higher-risk for carrying the BRCA1/2 gene [21]. Although the literature acknowledges subjective and objective numeracy as “related but distinct constructs” [22], subjective measures of health numeracy have received less scientific attention even though some, such as Fagerlin et al.’s Subjective Numeracy Scale [23], approximate objective measures, are easier to complete, and are often rated as more acceptable [19, 22].

We also know that holding fatalistic views about cancer, perceiving high cancer information overload, worrying about cancer, and having low cancer knowledge can contribute to the performance of prevention and screening behaviors [2428]. For example, cancer fatalism, information overload, and low knowledge can all decrease the likelihood of performing cancer screening behaviors; if one believes that cancer cannot be prevented or cured, thinks that news information is conflicting and contradictory, or has a dearth of knowledge about cancer, the enactment of screening behavior is unlikely. Cancer worry is generally positively related to screening behavior; as one tends to worry about the possibility of getting cancer, screening behavior increases [29]. Also, while information overload and prevention knowledge have previously been conceptualized as fatalistic beliefs, more recent measurement research suggests that cancer information overload and cancer fatalism are actually separate constructs [25]. We know much less about the factors underlying the formation of these perceptions. Given the importance of numeracy skills in health information comprehension and decision-making, low perceived numeracy scores may be a crucial individual-level determinant of health disparities by reinforcing cancer-related knowledge, beliefs, and affect which potentially impede timely cancer screening and care.

This study uses results from a large population-based health survey to examine the relationships between three potential proxies for low numeracy and four constructs of cancer perceptions that are associated with the performance of cancer prevention and screening behaviors. Specifically, we test the hypotheses that survey participants perceiving low numeracy will be more likely to express a higher degree of cancer fatalism, cancer information overload, and cancer worry, and express a lower degree of cancer knowledge.

Materials and methods

Data

This study uses publicly available data from the third collection of the Health Information and National Trends Survey (HINTS-3), administered by the National Cancer Institute in 2007. To date, HINTS-3 is the only cycle of HINTS in which numeracy was included in the survey. Rationale and methodology for the design of the HINTS survey have been documented in detail elsewhere [30]; the primary purpose was to capture the public’s knowledge, attitudes, and practices related to access, sources, and trust of cancer-related information to help improve health communication. The HINTS survey includes questions about cancer-related health beliefs, sources of health information, current health status, and demographics, and was the first national health survey to include questions about numeracy. This nationally representative survey is conducted both by phone and by mail response cards. Our analysis was restricted to the 4,081 HINTS-3 phone interview respondents with sample weights, as language preference was collected in this mode. Our final analytical sample (n = 3,052) excluded 1,029 respondents with incomplete demographic characteristics. A bias analysis of the differences between the included and excluded cases indicates that excluded respondents may have been less diverse than the general population—potentially more likely female and non-white (see S1 Table)—so our analysis of these characteristics can be viewed as a conservative assessment given the incomplete demographics of the excluded cases.

Because the HINTS-3 survey results are a publicly available and anonymized data set (available from the National Cancer Institute at http://hints.cancer.gov), this study was deemed exempt from human subjects review by the University of Miami Institutional Review Board.

Variables

Knowledge, beliefs, and affect.

The constructs chosen for the outcomes measures in this study were cancer information overload, cancer fatalism, cancer prevention knowledge, and cancer worry. The respective HINTS-3 questions corresponding to these four constructs were “Agree or disagree: There is so much information out there about cancer that it is hard to know what to do” (information overload), “Agree or disagree: It seems like everything causes cancer” (fatalism), “Agree or disagree: There is not much that you can do to lower your chances of getting cancer” (prevention knowledge), and “How often do you worry about getting cancer?” (worry). Responses to the first three variables were recorded on a four-point Likert scale and stratified into two categories: “strongly agree” and “agree” vs. “strongly disagree” and “disagree.” Available responses to the fourth variable were “never or rarely,” “sometimes,” “often,” or “all the time.” These were collapsed into two categories, “never or rarely” and “sometimes” vs. “often” and”all the time” to provide more comparable sample sizes across categories.

Numeracy.

There are three survey questions that attempt to measure perceived health numeracy in HINTS-3. The first numeracy-related question (henceforth referred to as “Nunderstand”) from the STAT-Confidence Scale [31] asked, “In general, how easy or hard do you find it to understand medical statistics?” The Nunderstand valid responses were “very easy,” “somewhat easy,” “somewhat hard,” and “very hard.” The second question (“Ncomfort”) comes from the Fagerlin Subjective Numeracy Scale [26], and asks, “In general, I am uncomfortable with medical information that uses a lot of statistics.” The Ncomfort valid responses were “strongly agree,” “agree,” “disagree,” and “strongly disagree.” The third question (“Nuse”) asks, “In general, I use statistics to make decisions about my health.” The Nuse valid responses were “strongly agree,” “somewhat agree,” “somewhat disagree,” or “strongly disagree.” Responses were recoded into a two-category variable for each of the three numeracy measures: high numeracy (“very easy” and “somewhat easy,” or “strongly agree” and “somewhat agree”) and low numeracy (“somewhat hard” and “very hard,” or “somewhat disagree” and “strongly disagree”). Our modeling approach focused on associations with low perceived numeracy. Note that HINTS-3 did contain a question intended as an objective measure of numeracy: “Which of the following numbers represents the biggest risk of getting a disease?” But this question was only asked in the mail version of the survey, which prevents us from controlling for (and testing potential interactions with) language preference, and assessing Ncomfort, both of which were only asked in the phone survey.

Socio-demographic variables.

The socio-demographic variables selected for this study are those typically correlated with health literacy [7]: age, gender, race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, non-Hispanic Asian, or other), highest level of education completed (bachelor’s degree or higher, some college, high school diploma, or less than high school), household income (< $25,000, $25,000–34,999, $35,000–49,999, $50,000–74,999, and > $75,000), and preferred language (Spanish or English).

Statistical analysis

Chi-square tests were used to compare high-numeracy and low-numeracy participant responses to those from the cancer perception questions. All tests were two-sided and were considered statistically significant at the level of α = .05. Binary logistic regression was used to assess the relationship between numeracy and responses to cancer belief questions after adjusting for age, gender, race/ethnicity, income, education, and preferred language. All analyses were conducted in SAS version 9.3 using the HINTS phone interview sample weights to adjust parameter estimates to be representative of the U.S. adult population.

Results

The demographic characteristics of the 3,052 respondents analyzed from HINTS-3 are presented in Table 1. The weighted study sample was predominantly non-Hispanic white (68.8%) with a slight female majority (50.5%), with 76.7% completing at least a high school diploma, and 25.7% attaining a Bachelor’s degree or higher. Just 31.9% of participants had an annual household income of greater than $75,000, with 53.2% over $50,000. The mean age of the sample was 55.3 years old (standard deviation [SD] = 16.4 years), with a range of 18–97. The three perceived numeracy measures also were associated with many of the demographic characteristics. Respondents with low Nunderstand were more likely to be of ethnic/racial minority status (X2 = 18.3, P < .001), report lower household income (X2 = 18.3, P < .001), have lower educational attainment (X2 = 58.3, P < .001), and be more likely to prefer Spanish (X2 = 9.9, P = .002). Respondents with low Ncomfort were more likely to be female (X2 = 10.0, P = .002), be of ethnic/racial minority status (X2 = 11.1, P = .010), report lower household income (X2 = 49.4, P < .001), have lower educational attainment (X2 = 49.4, P < .001), and be more likely to prefer Spanish (X2 = 9.3, P = .002). Respondents with low Nuse were more likely to report lower household income (X2 = 10.4, P = .030), and have lower educational attainment (X2 = 10.2, P = .020). These results underscore the relationships between socio-demographic characteristics and perceived numeracy and the importance of controlling for these characteristics in a multi-variable modeling approach.

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Table 1. Demographic characteristics (as weighted percentages) of 3,052 phone respondents analyzed from HINTS-3, and by perceived numeracy measure.

Italics denote statistical significance of chi-square test at P < .05.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0198992.t001

Regarding perceived numeracy, 1,162 participants (38.6%) answered “hard” or “very hard” to the first numeracy-related question, “In general, how easy or how hard do you find it to understand medical statistics?” These participants were classified as low Nunderstand. 1,679 participants (55.5%) strongly agreed or agreed with the second numeracy-related statement, “In general, I am uncomfortable with medical information that uses a lot of statistics.” These participants were classified as low Ncomfort. 1,143 participants (37.8%) indicated that they disagreed or strongly disagreed with the third numeracy-related statement, “In general, I use statistics to make decisions about my health.” These participants were classified as low Nuse.

Participants with low Nunderstand and participants with low Ncomfort had similar response patterns to the first three belief questions (Table 2). Participants with low perceived numeracy (Nunderstand or Ncomfort) were significantly more likely than their higher-numeracy counterparts to answer the cancer belief questions in a way that demonstrates cancer information overload (Nunderstand: X2 = 20.5, P < .001; Ncomfort: X2 = 60.8, P < .001), express fatalistic beliefs about cancer (Nunderstand: X2 = 4.5, P = 0.03; Ncomfort: X2 = 15.3, P < .001), demonstrate low cancer prevention knowledge (Nunderstand: X2 = 21.9, P < .001; Ncomfort: X2 = 53.4, P < .001), and express cancer worry (i.e. about getting cancer “often” or “all the time”) (Nunderstand: X2 = 9.1, P = 0.003; Ncomfort: X2 = 23.1, P < .001). There were no statistically significant differences in the rates of the four cancer belief responses between persons with low Nuse and high Nuse.

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Table 2. Bivariate associations of each belief outcome measure with each of the three perceived numeracy measuresa.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0198992.t002

After controlling for age, race, gender, education, preferred language, household income, and the other low perceived numeracy measures (Table 3), low Ncomfort remained significantly associated with fatalism (OR 1.63, 95% CI 1.23–2.14, P < .001), information overload (OR 2.37, 95% CI 1.79–3.13, P < .001), low prevention knowledge (OR 1.79, 95% CI 1.32–2.42, P < .001), and high frequency of worry (OR 1.68, 95% CI 1.14–2.49, P = 0.01). Low Nunderstand had a modest but statistically significant association with information overload (OR 1.39, 95% CI 1.04–1.87, P = 0.03), but not with fatalism (OR 1.22, 95% CI 0.95–1.59, P = 0.12), prevention knowledge (OR 1.11, 95% CI 0.82–1.50, P = 0.49) or high frequency of worry (OR 1.30, 95% CI 0.95–1.80, P = 0.59). Low Nuse was neither significantly associated with any of the four belief questions after adjusting for other factors, nor did the presence of Nuse affect the influence of Nunderstand or Ncomfort in any of the models. Each numeracy measure was originally tested independently (i.e. without the presence of the other two numeracy measures) in multivariable models adjusting for sociodemographic covariates, and the results were nearly identical to those presented in the full model in Table 3 (refer to S2S9 Tables for full results). In addition, we tested all six combinations of two- and three-way interactions between the perceived numeracy measures, and none of the interaction terms were statistically significant.

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Table 3. Multivariable logistic regression models of fatalism, information overload, prevention knowledge, and worry on three measures of low numeracy (Nunderstand, Ncomfort, and Nuse) adjusted for sex, age, race/ethnicity, education, household income, and preferred language.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0198992.t003

Discussion

This study examined the association between low perceived numeracy and responses to questions concerning cancer-related knowledge, beliefs, and affect in the 2007 HINTS-3 survey. Chi-square tests showed statistically significant differences between high- and low-numeracy group responses for Nunderstand and Ncomfort concerning information overload, fatalism, prevention knowledge, and worry about cancer. After controlling for sociodemographic factors, Ncomfort continued to have a significant positive association with information overload, fatalism, and worry, and a significant negative association with prevention knowledge. This is notable in light of the strong significant association between lower levels of education and these three constructs.

Only one of the three perceived numeracy measures was associated with cancer knowledge, beliefs and affect: respondents who were “uncomfortable with medical information that uses a lot of statistics” (Ncomfort). This response is, at face value, a tacit acknowledgment of limited skills by the survey respondent. Our analysis does not support using the other perceived numeracy measures, Nunderstand and Nuse, for predicting cancer perceptions. This is likely because phrasing of the original questions does not necessarily capture the degree of confidence in one’s understanding or use of statistics in decision-making. Respondents agreeing with these questions—whom in this study were modeled as high numeracy—may not understand the statistics they are using (and conversely those who do not use statistics may still understand them), which renders these questions a poor proxy for numeracy. It is also possible that the potential bias introduced via case exclusion due to missing demographic information is obscuring some of the relationships tested, particularly the lack of significant associations for Nunderstand and Nuse, which exhibit lower levels of low perceived numeracy in the excluded cases.

Many public health campaigns utilize statistics as a part of persuasive message design. For low numeracy individuals that lack the ability to correctly interpret these statistics, messages could be distorted or lost. Notably, 68.9% of the high Ncomfort group and 85.3% of the low Ncomfort group reported feeling overwhelmed by the amount of recommendations about cancer prevention, and approximately half of each group (43.2% vs. 55% respectively) agreed with the statement “it seems like everything causes cancer.” These findings point to a need for more cohesive and purposefully framed health education messages that account for the relatively low numeracy of the general population. In particular, the current findings highlight the possible unintended effects of message design when incorporating complicated numerical risk information into cancer prevention and screening messages for use among low-numeracy audiences. It is possible that current messaging strategies designed to increase perceived susceptibility and severity of cancer risk may contribute to the formation of detrimental beliefs and affect that may reduce the likelihood of performing cancer prevention and screening behaviors. Given this consideration, it is of critical importance for future research to better understand whether the conveyance of numerical risk information can yield unintended outcomes among a low-numeracy audience.

Additionally, numeracy likely affects depth of cancer news and intervention message processing. Fuzzy trace theory [32] describes how people process risk information, specifying a dual process model of gist and verbatim understanding. Verbatim understanding involves the ability to recite statistics or percentages, whereas gist understanding involves a qualitative conceptualization of risk that represents the underlying meaning of a statistic or percentage. Decision-making is based predominantly on gist interpretations of statistics. Previous work on fuzzy trace theory suggests that numeracy skills affect the formation of accurate gist understanding from verbatim recollection of statistics [33]. It thus appears critical that numeracy be included in future cancer prevention and screening interventions to better predict proximal outcomes of message exposure, such as cancer information overload, and even more distal outcomes including intentions and behavior.

Our analysis of the HINTS-3 data set is limited by the survey’s single-item measures of perceived numeracy that relied on unvalidated, self-reported evaluations, though our regression models of these single-item measures are robust across multiple cancer perception constructs. We view the results are compelling given the parsimony of these single-item measures, and this analysis beckons a comparison of these relationships with cancer perceptions to more nuanced measures of subjective and objective numeracy. Future comparisons might employ variable reduction techniques (e.g., principle components analysis) to test whether multiple single items could be synthesized into a single numeracy construct, and perhaps incorporate the lone objective numeracy item that was only asked in the HINTS mail sample. While our models control for known confounders, there likely are additional factors that mediate the relationship between numeracy and cancer perceptions. In addition, this data is from 2007; while more recent comparison data remains unavailable, perceptions such as worry have long been understood to be related to trait anxiety [34], as opposed to being an ephemeral emotion, thus underscoring the ongoing relevance of these 2007 HINTS items.

Future studies should focus on how numeracy affects cancer-related knowledge, beliefs, and affect, as our cross-sectional study design does not allow us to infer causality between numeracy and cancer beliefs. One topic in need of further study is the relationship between numeracy, information seeking, and knowledge about cancer. Higher numeracy has been associated with more positive information-seeking experiences [35], and this association may mediate the relationship between numeracy and perceptions about cancer.

Regardless, this study highlights the robust association of a simple perceived numeracy measure on cancer perceptions, and presents an opportunity to develop and test health promotion messages that are tailored to individuals with low numeracy given the evidence that fatalism [26, 27, 36], information overload [25], and low prevention knowledge [13] can all hinder health promotion efforts. Low numeracy was not as strongly associated with increased cancer worry, which is consistent with studies observing that cancer worry can facilitate, rather than inhibit, screening [24], and can be alleviated by increases in perceived cancer knowledge [28]. This type of tailored messaging offers a potential vehicle for improving shared cancer decision-making between patients and clinicians, and may have broader implications for other types of chronic disease management.

Conclusion

This study explored the relationship between perceived numeracy and cancer-related perceptions measured by HINTS. Our findings suggest that individuals with low perceived numeracy differ from individuals with high perceived numeracy in perceptions of cancer and cancer prevention, which may increase avoidance of cancer prevention and screening behaviors. As the volume of quantitative information and health data available to consumers continues to rise, particularly through new channels such as mobile and wearable technologies, it becomes essential to understand how consumers interpret and utilize this information. This study has implications for public health professionals, health communication specialists, and health care providers interested in the production and effectiveness of targeted health messages given the natural population variation in numeracy. Future research should extend this work to explore the potential associations between low numeracy, health behaviors, and clinical outcomes.

Supporting information

S1 Table. Bias analysis to assess socio-demographic differences between HINTS-3 cases included (n = 3,052) and excluded (n = 1,029) from analysis.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0198992.s001

(DOCX)

S2 Table. Adjusted multivariable logistic regression models of the relationship between each of the three measures of numeracy (Nunderstand, Ncomfort, and Nuse) and information overload, controlling for select sociodemographic characteristics.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0198992.s002

(DOCX)

S3 Table. Adjusted multivariable logistic regression models of the relationship between each of the three measures of numeracy (Nunderstand, Ncomfort, and Nuse) and fatalism, controlling for select sociodemographic characteristics.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0198992.s003

(DOCX)

S4 Table. Adjusted multivariable logistic regression models of the relationship between each of the three measures of numeracy (Nunderstand, Ncomfort, and Nuse) and prevention knowledge, controlling for select sociodemographic characteristics.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0198992.s004

(DOCX)

S5 Table. Adjusted multivariable logistic regression models of the relationship between each of the three measures of numeracy (Nunderstand, Ncomfort, and Nuse) and worry, controlling for select sociodemographic characteristics.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0198992.s005

(DOCX)

S6 Table. Adjusted multivariable logistic regression models of the relationship between each of the three measures of numeracy (Nunderstand, Ncomfort, and Nuse) and information overload, controlling for select sociodemographic characteristics and additional numeracy measures.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0198992.s006

(DOCX)

S7 Table. Adjusted multivariable logistic regression models of the relationship between each of the three measures of numeracy (Nunderstand, Ncomfort, and Nuse) and fatalism, controlling for select sociodemographic characteristics and additional numeracy measures.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0198992.s007

(DOCX)

S8 Table. Adjusted multivariable logistic regression models of the relationship between each of the three measures of numeracy (Nunderstand, Ncomfort, and Nuse) and prevention knowledge, controlling for select sociodemographic characteristics and additional numeracy measures.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0198992.s008

(DOCX)

S9 Table. Adjusted multivariable logistic regression models of the relationship between each of the three measures of numeracy (Nunderstand, Ncomfort, and Nuse) and worry, controlling for select sociodemographic characteristics and additional numeracy measures.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0198992.s009

(DOCX)

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