Genital Herpes Has Played a More Important Role than Any Other Sexually Transmitted Infection in Driving HIV Prevalence in Africa
Figure 3
HSV-2 and the findings of the Four City study [58].
HIV prevalence in 1997 in the four cities as predicted by the model for the scenarios of PECAcq = 4 and PECAcq = 9 compared to HIV prevalence as measured in the survey [89], versus HSV-2 prevalence in the four cities [11]. The calculations were done using the same sexual behavior parameters as those in Kisumu. The figure estimates the magnitude of HSV-2 contribution to the differential HIV prevalence across the four cities.