Conservation Efforts May Increase Malaria Burden in the Brazilian Amazon
Figure 3
Predicted malaria incidence in urban health posts is higher in the governance scenario than in the business-as-usual scenario.
Maps depict the ratio of the expected number of malaria cases per month for each year and city under the governance (GOV) and the business-as-usual (BAU) future LULC scenarios (i.e., ), where values >1 indicate that the GOV scenario results in more malaria cases than the BAU scenario. Areas that were deforested in the BAU scenario but not in the GOV scenario (i.e., prevented deforestation) are depicted in the background for reference. Circles represent the cities in our original malaria dataset.
